Expect house prices to rise in 2020: Capital Economics

Housing Market Crash 2020? A new Wall Street Journal report puts the odds of a recession at their highest level in 7 years, at 25%. Previously, economists forecasted 2020 as the year of the collapse. Perhaps we should revisit housing market demand and re-examine whether this could be when high home prices crash?

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After that, the pace of total dollars spent each year is projected to rise more rapidly to $851 billion in 2020.

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Not all of the increase is due to appreciation. Some figures show average prices, not median prices. The median price is the middle price, and it’s generally more meaningful when doing this kind of analysis. For example, let’s say we have five workers, who make $15k, $20k, $30k, $40k, and $600k respectively.

And the housing squeeze looks set to intensify because of Brexit, as the European Medicines Agency and multinationals.

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House prices rise by just 0.5% in a year as London’s buyer’s market ripples out to drag down the South East. with the annual rate of house price growth in the capital at 10.6 per cent.

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In August, economists expect Nationwide’s monthly survey to show a 0.3% dip in house prices, following July’s rise of 0.5% and a monthly gain. Caroline Bain and Julian Jessop at the consultancy.

 · However, massive surges in house prices are still predicted in some cities such as Canberra, which could see rises of more than 16 per cent from 2017-20 – along with Melbourne (10.2 per cent), Brisbane (7.1 per cent) and Hobart (10.8 per cent).

Sydney bucks the trend in the projections, with the Harbour City’s house prices expected to fall by around 0.2 per cent – meaning the median house price would be $1,178,000 in three years’ time.

"So while capital city average prices are likely to bottom by year end, we don’t see a return to boom time conditions but rather expect broadly flat home prices through 2020," Mr. oliver added.